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Updated forecast: Rain to expand late this afternoon, and may mix with sleet and snow

No snow accumulation expected before precipitation tapers off by midnight. Weather then dries out for the rest of the week.

February 7, 2022 at 11:30 a.m. EST

Radar courtesy MyRadar | © OpenStreetMap contributors

11:30 a.m. — Rain is likely areawide late this afternoon and evening and it could mix with snow

The rain that we previously expected would remain mostly east of the District this afternoon and evening looks like it wil shift about 40 miles westward, meaning much of the immediate D.C. area will get wet. The rain should enter our southern areas by around 3 p.m. and expand over the entire area by 5 p.m.

Especially north and west of the Beltway, some wet snow or sleet or a wintry mix could occur but, with temperatures above freezing, no accumulation is expected. Temperatures while most of the precipitation falls should be in the mid-to-upper 30s.

The precipitation should exit between 8 and 11 p.m. from southwest to northeast. Generally about 0.1 to 0.25 inches of rain should fall, with the highest amount in our eastern areas.

Original forecast from 5 a.m.

Today’s daily digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

4/10: Not so super. Cloudy and raw and maybe a little slippery early on.

Express forecast

  • Today: Spotty a.m. mix (mainly east) and p.m. rain. Highs: 40 to 45.
  • Tonight: Slight chance of rain before midnight. Lows: 28 to 34.
  • Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. Highs: Near 45.

Forecast in detail

Today’s somewhat dreary but, once we’re beyond it, the days are filled with sun the rest of the week. We’ll also see a gradual rise in temperatures, into the 50s, before we cool back down late in the weekend.

Today (Monday): Be careful for the possibility of some light, patchy freezing rain early on, especially east of the District. The concern for slippery roads and sidewalks should only persist until mid- to late morning, when temperatures rise above freezing. During the afternoon, just some spotty light rain is left over, again mainly in our eastern areas, with highs 40 to 45. Winds are light. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: A few lingering showers can’t be ruled out in our eastern areas through midnight. Then skies gradually clear out, with lows within a few degrees of 30. Confidence: Medium-High

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Tomorrow (Tuesday): Mostly sunny skies and, without much wind, not a bad day. Temperatures are pretty close to average, with highs near 45. Any breezes from the northwest are only around 5 to 10 mph. Confidence: High

Tomorrow night: Mostly clear, calm and seasonably cold. Lows range from near 30 downtown to the low to mid-20s in our colder areas. Confidence: High

A look ahead

Wednesday through Saturday is a remarkably tranquil stretch with slowly rising temperatures. Highs on Wednesday are near 50, in the low 50s Thursday and in the low to mid-50s Friday and Saturday. With clear skies, nights remain cool, with lows generally 30 to 35 downtown and 25 to 30 in our colder areas. Confidence: Medium-High

A cold front comes in Saturday night, dropping temperatures Sunday. There’s an outside chance of a little snow, but more likely it’s dry. Lows Sunday are in the 20s to near 30 with highs near 40. Confidence: Low-Medium

Snow potential index

A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

1/10 (→): This could arguably be zero as temperatures trend warmer this week, but it turns colder heading into Valentine’s Day, so we’ll hold it at 1.