Democracy Dies in Darkness

538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis

Analysis by
National columnist
March 8, 2024 at 3:39 p.m. EST
Rasmussen last March released data purporting to show that Republican Senate candidate Kari Lake (R) had won her gubernatorial election in November 2022, despite the state of Arizona having certified her loss. (Matt McClain/The Washington Post)
5 min

The poll aggregation and evaluation site 538, part of ABC News, dropped the right-wing polling firm Rasmussen Reports from inclusion in its polling averages and forecasts.

The decision comes after months of consideration that broke into public view in June. At that point, G. Elliott Morris, ABC News’s editorial director of data analytics and 538 lead, presented Rasmussen with questions meant to evaluate its objectivity and methodology. Rasmussen published the letter on its website, triggering backlash against 538 in right-wing media — and by Nate Silver, the founder of what was then called FiveThirtyEight. No change was implemented.