Analysis Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events.
New Hampshire Democratic primary exit poll results and analysis
Who’s winning each group
Percentage point lead on demographics where candidate leads.
New Hampshire exit poll results are below and will be updated as additional interviews are completed and as vote tallies for voters’ initial preferences are reported.
Results show the strengths and weaknesses of each Democratic candidate, according to a survey of voters as they exited randomly selected precincts across the state.
[The latest news from the New Hampshire primary | Live election results]
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was boosted by strong support from younger and lower-income voters, as well as those who support his keystone policies of single-payer health care and free tuition at public colleges and universities, according to exit poll results.
Nearly half of all voters under age 30 supported Sanders, as did nearly 4 in 10 of those between ages 30-44, outpacing his competitors among both groups. He also won 4 in 10 of voters with incomes under $50,000, more than twice as much support as any other candidate.
Each candidate’s five most and least supportive groups
Former South Bend, Ind., mayor Pete Buttigieg was buoyed by steady support across New Hampshire’s primary electorate but did not win big with any of them.
Buttigieg fared best with higher-income voters, as well as those who oppose a single-payer health care system. He also received support from at least 1 in 7 voters who are “very liberal” and voters under age 30, Sanders’s core constituency.
Senior citizens boosted Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), with almost a third backing her. The Minnesota senator also received strong support among weekly worship attenders and moderates. She received less support from strong liberals, lower-income voters and those under age 30.
Voters prioritize defeating Trump over issues
More than 6 in 10 voters said they preferred a candidate who could beat Trump over someone who agrees with them on issues, but electability-focused voters were divided in their support for Democratic candidates.
Nearly 3 in 10 supported Buttigieg, while Klobuchar and Sanders each won about one-fifth of this group.
Former vice president Joe Biden, who has focused on electability, garnered support from 1 in 10 electability-focused voters, a drop from Iowa, where he essentially tied for the lead with that group.
As in Iowa, Sanders dominated among the 1 in 3 voters who prioritized agreeing with a candidate on the issues over electability. Results showed him garnering support from nearly 4 in 10 in this group, about twice as much as any other candidate.
About half of voters decided in the last few days
About half of Democratic primary voters said they only decided whom to support in the last few days, with Buttigieg and Klobuchar benefiting the most from this group.
Buttigieg led with 28 percent of late deciding voters, while Klobuchar received 26 percent. Among those who decided earlier, Klobuchar received a far lower 10 percent support.
[Anxious N.H. Democratic voters made their choices in the final days — or minutes]
Exit poll results are shown below. Candidates who won a demographic group by 6 or more percentage points are highlighted.
Full results
Kevin Uhrmacher and Kevin Schaul contributed to this report. Candidate illustrations by Ben Kirchner.
Methodology
These are results from a survey of 2,935 voters as they exited randomly selected voting sites in New Hampshire on Feb. 11. The poll was conducted by Edison Media Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results for typical characteristics have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Data as of 4 p.m. Wednesday.
Originally published Feb. 11, 2020.