Sanders
Clinton
53%
47%
19 DELEGATES
15 DELEGATES
With 94 precincts reporting
Clinton
Sanders
53%
47%
19 DELEGATES
15 DELEGATES
With 94 precincts reporting
Clinton
Sanders
53%
47%
19 DELEGATES
15 DELEGATES
With 94 precincts reporting
Minorities finally have their say
Black and Hispanic voters accounted for a third of actual voters in this year’s Nevada Democratic caucus, according to exit polls. That’s much greater than in New Hampshire and Iowa.
HISPANIC VOTERS
BLACK VOTERS
Nevada ’16
19%
13%
1%
2%
New Hampshire ’16
4%
4%
Iowa ’16
BLACK VOTERS
Nevada ’16
New Hampshire ’16
13%
2%
4%
19%
1%
4%
HISPANIC VOTERS
The importance of black voters in many upcoming states
Next week, black voters take center stage in South Carolina, where history suggests they’ll make up a majority of Democrats voting. Then on March 1, or Super Tuesday, black voters are expected to be a majority in the Georgia primary, and approaching a third of voters in Virginia and Tennessee.
BLACK SHARE
OF 2008 VOTE
Total
Delegates
55%
59
SC
51
60
AL
17
37
AR
51
GA
117
29
75
TN
TX
19
251
30
109
VA
48
59
LA
BLACK SHARE OF 2008 VOTE
SC
GA
VA
AL
AR
TN
TX
LA
55%
51
19
51
29
30
48
17
60
75
59 total
delegates
37
117
251
109
59
BLACK SHARE OF 2008 VOTE
SC
GA
VA
AL
AR
TN
TX
LA
55%
51%
19%
51%
29%
30%
48%
17%
60
75
59 total
delegates
37
117
251
109
59
The increasing role of Hispanics across the nation
Hispanics are a growing share of Democratic voters in Nevada.
HISPANIC VOTERS
+4%
15%
2008
19%
2016
They have a double-digit share of eligible voters in only 11 states, according to a new Pew Research study. But several of those states are large ones – such as Texas, California, Florida and New York – where Hispanic voters can swing lots of delegates.
Just, 11 states have a share
higher than 10%, but the U.S.
average is 11.3%
50%
30%
20%
40%
0%
10%
US
CO
NY
NJ
NV
AZ
CA
TX
NM
FL
LATINO
SHARE OF
ELIGIBLE VOTERS
30%
50%
20%
40%
0%
10%
NM
NV
CO
AR
5 mill.
NJ
10 mill.
ELIGIBLE
VOTER
POPULATION
NY
FL
15 mill.
TX
20 mill.
CA
25 mill.
Most populated states, have
higher shares of latino population
1 out of 10 Americans elegible
to vote is latino.
Eleven states have more than
10 percent Latino voters.
30%
50%
20%
40%
10%
0%
NV
NM
AZ
CA
TX
CO
NY
NJ
US
FL
LATINO
SHARE OF
ELIGIBLE
VOTERS
30%
50%
20%
40%
10%
0%
0 mill.
NM
NV
CO
AR
5 mill.
NJ
10 mill.
ELIGIBLE
VOTER
POPULATION
NY
FL
15 mill.
TX
20 mill.
CA
25 mill.
Those states include some of the nation’s most populous states.
Nationwide, 11.3 percent of eligible voters are Latino.
Eleven states have more than
10 percent Latino voters.
Those states include some of the nation’s most populous states.
Nationwide, 11.3 percent of eligible voters are Latino.
ELIGIBLE VOTER POPULATION
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
0%
0%
10%
10%
U.S.
NY
NY, NJ
CO
NJ
CO
NV
NV
FL
FL
20%
20%
LATINO
SHARE OF
ELIGIBLE
VOTERS
AZ
AR
TX
CA
CA,TX
30%
30%
NM
40%
40%
NM
50%
50%
Clinton won big in the biggest county
Nevada may be vast geographically, but its population is concentrated in urban clusters. Most people live near Las Vegas or Reno. In Nevada, there are far fewer people living in rural areas than in the first contest states, Iowa and New Hampshire.
While Sanders won Washoe County, Clinton won the much more populous Clark County by about 10 percentage points.
Geography
Elko
80
NEVADA
Reno
Ely
Carson City
0
100
MILES
Las Vegas
Lake
Mead
Urban areas
Population by county
Washoe County
331,000
Clark County
1.5 million
Clinton won the most
populous county.
Geography
Population by county
Elko
Washoe County
331,000
80
NEVADA
Reno
Ely
Carson City
0
100
MILES
Las Vegas
Clark County
Lake
Mead
1.5 million
Urban areas
Clinton won the most
populous county.
Geography
Population by county
Elko
Washoe County
331,000
80
NEVADA
Reno
Ely
Carson City
0
100
MILES
15
Las Vegas
Clark County
Lake
Mead
1.5 million
Urban areas
Clinton won the most
populous county.
South Carolina is next
The next primary for the Democrats is South Carolina – where 55 percent of Democratic voters in the 2008 primary were black.
WHAT POLLS ARE PREDICTING
FOR SOUTH CAROLINA
30%
40%
50%
60%
Clinton
58% average
Sanders
32
COUNTIES WHERE MINORITIES
CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE
Black population by county
Greenville
84,000
Richland
179,000
Charleston
105,000
Hispanic population by county
Greenville
40,000
Richland
19,400
Hourry
17,400
Charleston
19,000
Beaufort
19,700
WHAT POLLS ARE PREDICTING FOR SOUTH CAROLINA
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
58% average
58%
Clinton
32
32%
Sanders
COUNTIES WHERE MINORITIES CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE
Black population by county
Greenville
84,000
Richland
179,000
Charleston
105,000
Hispanic population by county
Greenville
40,000
Richland
19,400
Hourry
17,400
Charleston
19,000
Beaufort
19,700
WHAT POLLS ARE PREDICTING FOR SOUTH CAROLINA
30%
40%
50%
10%
20%
60%
58% average
56% min
61% max
58%
Clinton
32
32%
Sanders
28
38
COUNTIES WHERE MINORITIES CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE
Black population by county
Greenville
84,000
Richland
179,000
Charleston
105,000
Hispanic population by county
Greenville
40,000
Richland
19,400
Hourry
17,400
Charleston
19,000
Beaufort
19,700
South Carolina has 53 pledged delegates, compared to Nevada’s 35, giving the state and its minority voters greater say in the nomination process.
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